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Bulk Fermentation Temp × InoculationStoichiometric Dough Model • Batch 3

Sourdough Bulk Fermentation Time at 76 Degrees (76°F / 24°C) with 15% Starter (+47.2% Rise)

Thermal carryover modeling into a 38°F retarder from 76°F (24.4°C) at 15% levain: target +36.1% vertical climb (5.44 cm).

Instant Lab Reference Verdict (Bulk Fermentation Temp × Inoculation)

Baking at 76°F (24.4°C) with 15% inoculation (75g starter/500g flour) sets a 5.2–6.4 hour bulk clock before core cooling past 45°F. Aim for +47.2% true volumetric expansion (+36.1% vertical height rise in a sloped bowl to 5.44 cm) and avoid the +62.9% volume explosion of doubling height.

Estimated Bulk Time
5.2–6.4 hrsAt 76°F (24.4°C) with 15% starter (Q10=1.08x)
Target Aliquot Volume Rise
+47.2%Capped volumetric cutoff (<45°F dormancy)
Sloped Bowl Height Target
5.44 cm+36.1% vertical climb from 4.0 cm
2x Height Trap Warning
+62.9% VolCoil fold every 30m (LAB 5.7:1)

2D Thermal & Inoculation Sensitivity Table for 76°F (24.4°C) @ 15% Levain

5-point neighborhood comparison around 76°F (24.4°C) and 15% starter (75g/500g flour), showing window hours, conical height rise %, straight-wall volume rise %, and 30-min coil fold intervals.

Temp & Levain Seed (Around 76°F / 15%)Fermentation Window9" Conical Height RiseStraight-Wall Volume RiseCoil Fold Cadence
74°F (23.3°C) @ 13% (65g) Cooler / Lower Seed6.7–8.3 hrs (402–498m)+42.4% height (4.0 → 5.7 cm)+56% vol (2x trap: +75.9%)Every 33 min (Row 1)
76°F (24.4°C) @ 13% (65g) Baseline Temp / Lower Seed5.8–7.1 hrs (348–426m)+36.4% height (4.0 → 5.46 cm)+47.5% vol (2x trap: +63.4%)Every 31 min (Row 2)
76°F (24.4°C) @ 15% (75g) [Current Target]5.2–6.4 hrs (312–384m)+36.1% height (4.0 → 5.44 cm)+47.2% vol (2x trap: +62.9%)Every 30 min (Row 3)
76°F (24.4°C) @ 18% (90g) Baseline Temp / Higher Seed4.5–5.6 hrs (270–336m)+35.9% height (4.0 → 5.44 cm)+46.9% vol (2x trap: +62.5%)Every 29 min (Row 4)
78°F (25.6°C) @ 18% (90g) Warmer / Higher Seed3.8–4.9 hrs (228–294m)+31.1% height (4.0 → 5.24 cm)+40.2% vol (2x trap: +52.9%)Every 27 min (Row 5)

On-Bench Hydration & Fermentation Adjuster

Modify base flour mass, levain inoculation, or ambient kitchen temperature below to recalculate from this 5.2–6.4 hrs baseline.

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Estimated Bulk Time:
5.2–6.4 hrs — At 76°F (24.4°C) with 15% starter (Q10=1.08x)
Target Aliquot Volume Rise:
+47.2% — Capped volumetric cutoff (<45°F dormancy)
Sloped Bowl Height Target:
5.44 cm — +36.1% vertical climb from 4.0 cm

When to Stop Bulk Fermentation at 76 Degrees (76°F / 24°C): Target +47.2% Rise

By integrating the conical frustum volume integral V(z) = ∫ π r(z)² dz across a 14 cm base and 24 cm rim, a +47.2% volumetric expansion at 76°F (24.4°C) and 15% inoculation lifts dough height by only +36.1% (from 4.0 cm to 5.44 cm). Waiting for vertical height to double during the 5.2–6.4 hr window creates a +62.9% volume explosion.

Starch retrogradation and lipid crystallization stabilize bubble lamellae only after the 76°F (24.4°C) dough cools below 45°F. With 15% starter (5.7:1 acid ratio, Q10=1.08x), stopping bench fermentation at 5.2–6.4 hrs and 5.44 cm (+47.2% volume) prevents the +62.9% conical overproofing failure.

Precision Bulk Fermentation Workflow: 76°F (24.4°C) with 75g Levain

  1. Seed & Thermal Check (76°F / 24.4°C): Verify dough core reads 76°F after incorporating 75g active levain (15% baker's math) for a 5.7:1 LAB balance.
  2. Aliquot & Sloped Vessel Setup: Place 40g dough in a straight cylinder (mark +47.2%) and set a ruler at 5.44 cm (+36.1% climb) on your 24 cm sloped bowl.
  3. Gluten Alignment (30-Min Intervals): Perform gentle folds every 30 minutes without degassing; stop folding 90 minutes before hour 5.2.
  4. Bench Preshape & 38°F Retard: Dump onto the bench between 5.2 and 6.4 hours at +47.2% rise, tension-roll, and refrigerate immediately until core drops past 45°F.

Common Scaling & Troubleshooting Questions (5.2–6.4 hrs)

What is the Q10 metabolic speed factor at 76°F (24.4°C)?

At 76°F (24.4°C), sourdough yeast and LAB operate at a 1.08x Q10 velocity relative to 75°F, yielding a 5.7:1 lactic-to-acetic acid ratio over 5.2–6.4 hours at 15% starter.

What percentage rise should I look for at 76°F (24.4°C) with 15% levain?

Target +47.2% true volumetric expansion (+36.1% vertical height rise in a sloped bowl, from 4.0 cm to 5.44 cm) before 38°F cold retarding, avoiding the +62.9% volume explosion of doubling height.

Why did my 76°F dough overproof when I waited for it to double in height?

In a 24 cm sloped bowl, doubling vertical height from 4.0 cm to 8.0 cm causes a +62.9% volume explosion instead of the recommended +47.2% true volumetric expansion (+36.1% vertical height rise in a sloped bowl to 5.44 cm).

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